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Models Push 'Less Intense' System North

POSTED: Tuesday, August 22, 2006
UPDATED: 2:29 pm EDT August 28, 2006

The latest projected path of Tropical Depression Four shows the storm continuing to move north west and away from Florida, according to Local 6 meteorologist Tom Sorrells.


test stream

"The path of projected movement has not changed a whole lot," Sorrells said. "In fact, the models are coming into more of an agreement. Two of them took the storm farther south on more of a westerly jog rather than a north westerly jog. Now, all of them are starting to agree it is going to become a mid-Atlantic thing."

The National Hurricane Center said the system may no longer strengthen into hurricane.

Forecasters said a stable air mass, relatively cool waters and wind shear will combine to inhibit rapid growth.

"You should note that (The Hurricane Center) has backed off its intensity," Sorrells said. "Instead of blowing it to a Category 1 hurricane, they now keep it as tropical storm as late as Friday."

At 5 p.m., the depression that formed Monday was centered 210 miles west of the southernmost Cape Verde and was moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph. The government of Cape Verde, 350 miles off the African coast, discontinued a tropical storm warning as the system passed.

The storm had maximum sustained winds near 35 mph, 4 mph below the threshold for a tropical storm and well below hurricane strength of 74 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center. But it was expected to become a tropical storm by Wednesday and would take the name Debby.

Forecasters said the system was expected to head northwest later in the day and long-range forecasts show it nearing Bermuda in about a week. But it was still too early to tell if it would hit land, senior hurricane specialist James Franklin said.

There have been three named storms in the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season.

Watch Local 6 News for more on this story.

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