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Current Trends Move Fay Path East

Hurricane Center's Path Has Landfall Near Tampa As Cat. 1

POSTED: Monday, August 18, 2008
UPDATED: 9:08 am EDT August 18, 2008

Current trends show Tropical Storm Fay veering away from the National Hurricane Center's projected path of movement and moving closer to a South Florida landfall.


IMAGES: Projected Paths Of Movement

"There is still the possibility that this could move to the east far enough that it leaves the parks and it leaves Orlando out of this," Local 6 meteorologist Eric Wilson said.

NOAA's projected path of movement has continued to show Fay making landfall near Tampa as a category 1 hurricane.

However, some models are showing a very different path with possible landfall in South Florida.

"Our forecast based on current trends and what we are seeing is that (Fay) is going to take a much different path," Wilson said. "(That) means it misses (Central Florida) completely. It keeps us on the safer side of the forward-moving storm."

The National Hurricane Center's path continues to put the storm farther west moving near Fort Myers on Tuesday and then into Tampa.

"Regardless of its strength (when it hits Central Florida) it has the possibility of producing severe weather in the right front quadrant, which is where we will be (on the Hurricane Center's path)," Wilson said.

"It is still very much (Central Florida's) problem," Local 6 meteorologist Tom Sorrells said.

The cone of projected movement still covers much of the state of Florida.

Fay will remain over Cuba most of Monday.

"Where Fay emerges (from Cuba) and where it is going will tell the difference whether we really get thumped with this thing or just get a huge glancing blow," Sorrells said.

Tropical storm-force winds would cover Central Florida on the National Hurricane Center's current path.

"We are in what is called the ugly side of this," Wilson said. "We need this to move farther out into the Gulf of Mexico or at least a bit east."

Winds were expected to remain about 50 mph Monday as the system moved near Cuba.

Fay continued to head toward the west at about 15 mph with sustained winds at 50 mph.

Watch Local 6 News for more on this developing story.

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