ORLANDO, Fla. -- The latest VIPIR radar forecast shows Tropical Storm Fay moving into Florida earlier than the National Hurricane Center's projected path before it exits the state near Brevard County and into the Atlantic Ocean.

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IMAGES: Projected Paths Of Movement
CELL ALERTS: Text "Fay" to 42363 (rates may apply)

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The National Hurricane Center's latest path shifts the system east with an estimated landfall south of Naples near Punta Gorda as a category 1 hurricane.

The storm path then moves into Central Florida with strong winds.

"This line puts it almost on top of Orange County during the next 24 hours with Tropical Storm-force winds," Local 6 meteorologist Tom Sorrells said. "Miami is going to get a good drenching as the day continues today. (They) think this thing is going to wobble out and hook right back toward Central Florida."

The VIPIR forecast model agrees with the National Hurricane Center's current path with the exception of the storm pushing farther east and into the Atlantic Ocean after landfall.

"It is still very much (Central Florida's) problem," Sorrells said.

The National Hurricane Center reports that a Tropical Storm Warning extends from Cocoa Beach southward and along the Florida West Coast east of Flamingo, including Lake Okeechobee.

Also, officials said Polk County schools will be closed Tuesday because of the storm.

"Everything is beginning to fall into place for a very active weather situation in the next 24 to 48 hours," Sorrells said. "It is going to be a long run between now, tonight and during the day tomorrow."

The cone of projected movement still covers much of the state of Florida.

Fay will remain over Cuba most of Monday.

"Where Fay emerges (from Cuba) and where it is going will tell the difference whether we really get thumped with this thing or just get a huge glancing blow," Sorrells said.

Winds were expected to remain about 60 mph Monday as the system moved near Cuba.

Fay continued to head toward the west at about 15 mph with sustained winds at 60 mph.

Watch Local 6 News for more on this developing story.