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Fay Does Not Intensify Before Landfall; Storm Moving East

New Path Delivers Strong Winds, Heavy Rain In Brevard County

POSTED: Monday, August 18, 2008
UPDATED: 9:33 am EDT August 19, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay did not strengthen overnight and shifted its path east, no longer showing the eye of the system passing over downtown Orlando.


IMAGES: Projected Paths Of Movement
CELL ALERTS: Text "Fay" to 42363 (rates may apply)

"This storm did not intensify at all," Local 6 meteorologist Tom Sorrells said. "I really thought we would wake up with a strong, strong, raging tropical storm or even a hurricane. It did not come through. The big threat is not going to be the wind associated with the core of this system, but the twisters flying out of these feeder bands as we go through the daytime hours today."

"Our (projected) wind-field is not as great as initially thought," Local 6 meteorologist Eric Wilson said.

The National Hurricane Center's path of project movement showed the storm growing into a category 1 storm before landfall near Fort Myers, with a large part of Central Florida feeling tropical storm-force winds.

In fact, Monday night's forecast had the eye of the storm coming over Orlando with strong winds.

The new path delivers strong winds and heavy rain to parts of Brevard County Tuesday and late Wednesday.

"Tropical storm-force winds associated with the system only make it to southern Brevard County instead over overrunning the entire viewing area," Sorrells said. "Then, as we go on into the day, much of the tropical storm-force winds will be confined to east Orange County down to the south. So, if you are watching from Sumter, Lake and Marion counties, it's looking more and more likely -- unless you get hit by a feeder ban -- you are going to turn out with a pretty decent day."

Sorrells said forecasters have had a hard time tracking Fay's path.

"In their discussion, they talk about the fact they are really have a hard time figuring out whether it is going this way or that," Sorrells said.

For the last several days, the VIPIR forecast model showed the storm moving farther east and onshore Tuesday morning.

"The track is where we thought all along, which is tracking east of Orlando," Wilson said.

Wilson said the heavy rain should arrive in Central Florida in Osceola and Polk County by Tuesday at 4 p.m.

Also, the storm could drop 10 inches of rain in Melbourne and 8 inches of rain in Daytona.

"It is still very much (Central Florida's) problem," Sorrells said.

Winds were expected to remain about 60 mph early Tuesday as the system moved into Florida.

Watch Local 6 News for more on this developing story.

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