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Hurricane Frances Weakens, Slows In Trek Toward Florida

Strong Winds Still Predicted In Orlando

POSTED: Thursday, September 2, 2004
UPDATED: 10:10 am EDT September 3, 2004

The Tropical Prediction Center's projected path for Hurricane Frances on Friday has the storm making landfall near Vero Beach, Fla., midnight Saturday, Local 6 News meteorologist Reynolds Wolf reported.

  • Click here for a larger image of Friday morning's path.

    The storm is expected to continue its march across Florida just south of Orlando at 2 p.m. Sunday, Wolf said. And, according to the latest model, the storm will move through the state and into the Gulf of Mexico.

    The Category 3 storm has slowed somewhat, giving residents a little more time to flee what some say could be the most powerful storm to hit the state in more than a decade. The National Hurricane Center says the storm has become somewhat disorganized, but they warn it could re-intensify before slamming into Florida perhaps as early as Saturday morning.

    County-By-County Outlook

    With Friday's path, the storm could still deliver 90 mph winds to Orlando. Areas in Orange County, Fla., could also see up to 10 inches of rain.

    Residents in Lake County, Fla., could see 80 mph winds if the storm keeps the Tropcial Prediction Center's current path.

    About 10 inches of rain and 60 mph winds can be expected in Marion County, Fla.

    Brevard County can see a storm surge of up to 12 feet even if the storm makes landfall near Vero Beach, Fla. Winds could reach 105 mph.

    Volusia County could see a storm surge of 8 feet with winds up to 90 mph in the current path.

    Residents in Seminole County, Fla., can expect to see winds of up 85 mph.

    Winds could reach 75 mph in Flagler County, Fla.

    Polk County can see up to 12 inches of rain and 85 mph winds.

    Winds in the current model could reach 70 mph in Sumter County, Fla.

    2.5 Million People Told To Evacuate

    Bracing for a monstrous storm, residents and tourists clogged shelters or made last-minute preparations Friday as Hurricane Frances churned toward the Atlantic coast, where the state's second pummeling in three weeks could begin as soon as Saturday.

  • Click here to find out what winds and rain is expected in your county.

    About 2.5 million residents were ordered to evacuate -- the largest in state history.

    The slow-moving storm's core was now expected to hit Florida Saturday afternoon or evening, instead of early Saturday as had been earlier predicted.

    Early Friday, streets in Port St. Lucie were quiet, with almost all businesses boarded up. A trickle of people went into a Publix supermarket. There was a light breeze as the sun rose.

    It weakened Friday into a strong Category 3 storm packing 120 mph winds and the potential to push ashore waves up to 14 feet high.

    Its top sustained winds were down from about 145 mph on Thursday, but forecasters said the weakening could be fluctuation typical with large storms and Frances could regain its former strength. If it did, it could be the worst storm to hit the state since Andrew in 1992.

    HURRICANE KATRINA

    "I'm petrified," said Deena Dacey, who fled her Rockledge home near Cape Canaveral for a hotel room near Tampa's Busch Gardens on the other, leeward side of the state. "If we can get settled, we might be OK, but I doubt it."

    At 8 a.m. EDT, the hurricane, with wind still at 120 mph, was centered 260 miles east-southeast of the lower Florida east coast and was moving west-northwest near 9 mph. Hurricane-force winds extended up to 85 miles from its center.

    Frances' landfall would represent the first time since 1950 that two major storms -- defined as ones with wind of at least 111 mph -- have hit Florida so close together. It comes on the heels of Hurricane Charley, which hit on Aug. 13 and inflicted billions of dollars in damage to homes, knocking out power to hundreds of thousands and causing 27 deaths as it crossed from the Gulf of Mexico into the Atlantic.

    With its imposing size -- a cloud cover about as big as the state of Texas -- Frances had the potential to ravage the state with its slow movement. Forecasters said the slower the storm moves across the ocean, the longer its winds and rain could linger, increasing the possibility of serious damage.

    "The good news is for the procrastinators out there, that buys you a little more time, so take advantage of it," said Jaime Rhome, a meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

    But, he warned, a slow moving storm like this could bring 10 to 20 inches of rain.

    The hurricane warning covered most of the state's eastern coast, from Florida City, near the state's southern tip, to Flagler Beach, north of Daytona Beach. Forecasters could not say with certainty where Frances would come ashore, just that the core would strike late Saturday.

    About 14.6 million of Florida's 17 million people live in the areas under hurricane watches and warnings.

    "I am a prayerful person and I will pray. I know a lot of other people are praying right now that this storm moves in a different direction," said Gov. Jeb Bush.

    Bush estimated 2.5 million residents were under evacuation orders in 15 Florida counties based on the state's projections of people living in evacuated areas. Individual counties reported at least 1.32 million residents ordered evacuated.

    The governor asked his brother, President Bush, to declare Florida a federal disaster area and make storm victims eligible for recovery aid. Federal officials promised they had enough people and supplies in the state to handle two disaster-relief operations at once.

    Bumper-to-bumper traffic clogged state highways, leaving a stream of lights into the evening. Traffic backed up for miles on sections of Interstate 95, the main north-south highway along the state's east coast, and was heavy along Interstate 4, which connects Daytona Beach, Orlando and Tampa in central Florida.

    "I've got half my house in my car," said Doris Johnson, a retiree who waited outside a shelter with her husband, hauling a pile of blankets, pillows, and water. "I just want it over with, and hope and pray no one gets hurt."

  • Click here for breaking county-by-county updates on Central Florida school closures and evacuation alerts.

    The storm and the evacuations it forced were spoiling Labor Day trips and disrupting holiday travel across the Southeast.

    In Melbourne, the 300-room beachfront Holiday Inn Beach Resort had been fully booked until guest started checking out Thursday under an evacuation order. General manager Tim Michaud estimated at least $100,000 in lost revenue.

    "That's just rooms," Michaud said. "We're also losing functions for the weekend."

    Airports were packed with people hoping to depart before all flights were grounded. Hotels and motels inland filled up, and gas stations ran dry.

    Florida rescinded tolls on major roads and said lanes on some highways could be reversed to handle the evacuation traffic. State officials hoped to avoid a repeat of the mess during Hurricane Floyd in 1999, when 1.3 million people were told to evacuate the state's east coast and traffic backed up 30 miles or more.

    The Kennedy Space Center at Cape Canaveral was ordered completely evacuated for the first time because of the dual threats of high wind and storm surge.

    Many businesses along the Atlantic coast began closing Wednesday. Residents flocked to the stores that remained open, hoping to pick up bottled water and canned goods while long lines formed outside home supply stores for scarce plywood or generators.

    "Ain't no bread. Ain't no water," grumbled Anita Walker, 53, staring at empty shelves at a Tampa Wal-Mart. "When they say hurricane, they buy everything."

    Frances was about twice the size of 1992's Hurricane Andrew, the Category 5 storm that destroyed much of southern Miami-Dade County. The last time two major storms hit Florida so close together was 54 years ago, when Hurricane Easy hit the Tampa area and Hurricane King struck Miami about six weeks later. Neither storm was as powerful as Charley was or Frances could be -- a scary thought for many Floridians.

    "We've took enough clothes for three days," said Revonda Barrs, 44, of Vero Beach, who stopped at a Port St. Lucie gas station. "We boarded our dog and we basically left all our other possessions in the hands of God."

    Meanwhile, the ninth named storm of the season formed early Friday in the far eastern Atlantic. Tropical Storm Ivan was located about 610 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands and had maximum sustained winds of 40 mph.

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