ORLANDO, Fla. – Expect a few dry days until Wednesday rolls around.
That's when rain chances bump up through the end of the week between 30% and 40%.
There basically will be a few showers in the afternoon, but nothing too widespread at this time. Keep in mind that if you head to the beach, play it safe in the water. The rip current risk remains high for the Columbus Day holiday. There will also be the issue of high tides running up to the dunes and the sea walls.
Highs will remain in the upper 80s to start the work week and then once the rain kicks in it will cool down a little to the mid 80s. Overnight lows will stay in the upper 60s and low 70s.
Conditions at area beaches will continue to be dangerous due to swells from Tropical Storm Melissa causing a high rip current risk and rough surf Sunday and possibly continuing into Monday.
Rain chances are again too low to include in the forecast for Monday and Tuesday, but moisture does begin to slowly increase late Tuesday ahead of a weak cold front approaching.
Rain chances ahead of the front Wednesday will sit at 30% as the front pushes through into early Thursday.
Another approaching front may give us another shot at rain Friday or Saturday.
Tropical Storm Melissa continues to move away from the eastern seaboard, where the National Hurricane Center expects the storm to continue to weaken over the next day or so.
Meanwhile, in the southwestern Caribbean, the area of low pressure over portions of Central America still has a low chance of development over the next five days.
It will still be a rain maker for Honduras, Belize, and northern Guatemala.
There is no threat to Florida even as is moves into the Bay of Campeche.
This will be something for people with interests in Mexico to keep an eye on.
A tropical wave over the central Atlantic has been given a low chance for development as it moves west, where upper level winds won't be as favorable for development.
For now, the National Hurricane Center has kept the chance at 20%. A strong tropical wave just off the west coast of Africa could become a tropical depression over the next couple of days with a 70% chance of development in the forecast. The general movement is toward the Cabo Verde Islands, but strong upper level winds should prevent any further development of the system after Tuesday based on the latest National Hurricane Center guidance.