MODELS, SATELLITE, UPDATES: Disturbance off Florida’s east coast could become tropical depression

NHC: 50% chance for development next two, five days

ORLANDO, Fla. – The News 6 Pinpoint Weather team is monitoring an area of low pressure off of the east coast of Florida.

The National Hurricane Center is giving this disturbance a 50% chance to develop into a tropical depression over the next two days, as well as the next five days.

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As of 2 p.m. Sunday, a well-defined low pressure system was located approximately 150 miles east of Daytona Beach. The system continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms with the bulk of the activity south and east of the center. Environmental conditions are expected to remain marginally favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form later Sunday or Monday as the system moves slowly toward the northeast coast of Florida.

A tropical depression is a tropical system with a defined center, with thunderstorms forming around the low. Maximum sustained winds in a tropical depression are 38 mph or less.

A tropical system receives a name when it becomes a tropical storm, having maximum sustained winds ranging from 39-73 miles per hour. A hurricane contains maximum sustained winds of 74 miles per hour or greater.

The next named storm will be called Fred.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs through Nov. 30, with the peak of storm season being mid-September.

You can find everything you need to prepare for an upcoming storm at ClickOrlando.com/hurricane.


About the Author:

Jonathan Kegges joined the News 6 team in June 2019 as the Weekend Morning Meteorologist. Jonathan comes from Roanoke, Virginia where he covered three EF-3 tornadoes and deadly flooding brought on by Hurricanes Florence and Michael.