Hurricanes
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COUNTY RESOURCES
BEFORE THE STORM
DURING THE STORM
AFTER THE STORM
Gulf
Atlantic
VIDEO FORECAST
For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. The long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3, respectively.
The list of names for 2026 is as follows:
Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation -------------------------------------------------------------------- Arthur AR-thur Leah LEE-ah Bertha BUR-thuh Marco MAR-koe Cristobal krees-TOH-bahl Nana NA-na Dolly DAH-lee Omar OH-mar Edouard eh-DWARD Paulette pawl-LET Fay fay Rene re-NAY Gonzalo gohn-SAH-loh Sally SAL-ee Hanna HAN-uh Teddy TEHD-ee Isaias ees-ah-EE-ahs Vicky VIH-kee Josephine JOH-seh-feen Wilfred WILL-fred Kyle KY-ull
A full list of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone names and pronunciations can be found at: www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_pronounce_atlc.pdf
This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and a wind speed probability product is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings.
NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land areas within 72 hours. For these land-threatening "potential tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and watch/warning products. Potential tropical cyclones share the naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions, being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One", "Two", "Three", etc.).
The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by radar. It can also be used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under the WMO header WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.
All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov. More information on NHC text and graphical products can be found at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Product_Description.pdf. New and updated products for the 2026 season can be found at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/2026NHCNewProductsAndServices.pdf
You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via X when select National Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our Atlantic X feed (@NHC_Atlantic) is available at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/socialmedia/.
Posted 2 hours ago by NHC Forecaster Forecaster Pasch
Special Features
Atlantic Gale Warning: 1014 mb low pressure off the Georgia coast will deepen as it moves eastward toward Bermuda through late Tue, dragging a cold front that move toward the northern Bahamas. Expect strong SW winds ahead of the low pressure and front Tue, with near gale to gale-force winds and rough to very rough seas southeast of Bermuda by late Tue. Winds diminish below gale-force Tue night as the front stalls from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas Tue, although fresh to strong winds and rough seas will persist within 300 nm east of the front north of 27N through mid week.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
Tropical Waves
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W, south of 12N and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Convection is described in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 73W, south of 17N and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Relatively dry air over the basin is precluding convection near this wave at this time.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along the coast of Nicaragua near 83W, south of 15N and moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection extends from western Panama to southeast Nicaragua.
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal near 14N17W, then curves southwestward to 08N25W then on to 05N40W. The ITCZ extends from 05N40W to 05N52W. Scattered moderate convection is evident from 04N to 08N between 30W and 40W.
Gulf Of America
Instability under the center of an upper level low is supporting numerous thunderstorms this morning over the far southwest Gulf along the coast of Veracruz state in Mexico. Thunderstorms are also active over the Loop Current north of the Yucatan Channel and over the northeast Gulf 120 nm off the western Florida Panhandle associated with the lift provided by the right rear entrance area of an upper jet over the southeast U.S. 1018 mb high pressure cell is centered over the eastern Gulf near 26N84W. This pattern is supporting gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas over the eastern Gulf, with moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft over the western Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf waters into midweek supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds with moderate seas. The exception will be evening pulses of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan Peninsula and in the central Gulf through the same period. An upper-level trough across the western Gulf will continue to support showers and thunderstorms across the east and central Gulf through mid week. Expect fresh to strong E winds and moderate to rough seas across the NE Gulf Wed and Wed night as a frontal boundary reaches the area. Looking ahead, these winds and seas will diminish Thu through Fri as the front stalls and weakens from the southeast Gulf to the north-central Gulf.
Caribbean Sea
The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge northeast of the islands and lower pressures in northern Colombia results in fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft across the central Caribbean. Fresh to locally strong easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern and remainder of the NW Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian low will support moderate to fresh trade winds across most of the basin, with fresh to strong winds and rough seas over the south- central Caribbean. The area of fresh to strong winds and rough seas will expand across the east and central Caribbean tonight into Tue as the ridge north of the area strengthens. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish slightly starting late Wed as the ridge north of the basin weakens. Farther west, strong winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night through Fri.
Atlantic Ocean
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning for waters southeast of Bermuda Tue.
A cold front extends from 31N59W to the central Bahamas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along with fresh to strong SW winds and 8-10 ft seas within 90 nm east of the front, north of 27N. 1019 mb high pressure is centered off the Carolinas near 33N71W, east of 1014 mb low pressure centered off Georgia. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh SE winds and 5-6 ft seas north of 30N and southeast of the low pressure. Gentle NE breezes are noted elsewhere west of the front. Combined seas are 5-8 ft in NW swell north of 27N and 3-5 ft elsewhere west of 60W. Farther east, a broad ridge extends from 1019 mb high pressure centered southwest of the Azores, southwestward to Hispaniola. This pattern is supporting fresh to strong NW winds and 6-9 ft seas south of the ridge axis, and gentle to moderate breezes with 4-6 ft seas along the ridge axis. A large area of Saharan dust covers most of the Atlantic between 10N and 20N, east of 60W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will shift southeastward, ahead of a low pressure area and attendant front moving off the Georgia coast. The low pressure will move toward Bermuda through late Tue, with a trailing cold front reaching as far south as the northern Bahamas. Expect strong SW winds ahead of the low pressure and front Tue, with near gale to gale-force winds and rough to very rough seas expected southeast of Bermuda by late Tue. The front will stall from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas Tue night, ahead of a reinforcing front moving into the waters off northeast Florida accompanied by strong to near- gale force winds and rough seas. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish into Fri after the fronts merge, then weaken in place from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas with broad high pressure building off the Carolinas. Farther south, strong winds may pulse off the northern coast of Hispaniola Tue night.
Posted 2 hours ago by NHC Forecaster Christensen
