🌀The 2025 hurricane season begins

What’s going on, guys? Meteorologist Jonathan Kegges back with you for another hurricane season. Crazy, right? This first edition of the Tropics Watch newsletter is going to be a little long. Sorry about that!

I want to go over some housekeeping items with you guys and there is already some hurricane hype out there. We’re going to take out that trash in a minute.

Right on schedule there is also already a blob out there. Don’t worry it’s not a big deal. We’ll get to that in a second.

First I just want to say that we, The News 6 Weather Team, will be here for you every step of the way. There is a lot of noise out there when it comes to the weather. A lot of hype, a lot of clickbait etc. You have my word that you will never see any of those scare tactics from myself and News 6. Seeing this myself makes my blood boil. Trust me.

We’re going to talk about a lot of stuff (hopefully while everything remains out at sea), but we will do so with sound science and meteorology and absolutely no scare tactics.

It is my hope to have a conversation about the weather this season and to pass along everything I know so that you know what to look out for.

You can expect an email from me every Monday evening (and as needed) during hurricane season. If it’s quiet, we’re going to talk about it. If there’s something going on out there, I’m definitely going to be talking about it.

🌊2025 Hurricane Season

The forecasts from several entities expect another above average year. It’s hard for a below average year these days with the water temps being so warm. Meteorologist David Nazario and myself put together a little breakdown on where we think some of the ‘hotspots’ could be based on the pattern.

🍋A Yellow Blob To Start The Season

Earlier Monday(6/2), the National Hurricane Center highlighted an area off of the southeast corner of the U.S. This is no deal for Florida and just a little deal for the Carolinas.

Regardless if this does develop, gusty showers are likely coming for the Carolina coast late week. For Florida this will increase the rip current risk and may help to dry things out late week.

🗑️It’s Garbage Day

Ok, so I mentioned hype. If you have seen posts on social media showing a major hurricane in the Gulf around June 10, disregard it. Can we see some development in that region over the next week or so? Sure? The atmosphere will become conducive to thunderstorms developing that region. The catch, the GFS is typically too fast and too aggressive in developing western Caribbean storms. The only model being shown on social media? You guess it...the GFS. The hypesters won’t tell you that, but I’ll make sure you know what to trust and what is TRASH! So while there could be some tropical development down there in mid June the GFS runs being shared everywhere are definitely TRASH!

Ways to stay connected this hurricane season

You can log on and chat with me live during our live streaming weather hangout session. That is every Monday-Friday at 10 p.m. To comment be signed into YouTube and subscribe to the WKMG/Clickorlando page or click here and become an insider and comment in the live chat box!

📱News 6 Weather App

Even if you are outside of Central Florida, download this app! This is the best hurricane app on the market and it’s FREE. As soon as the National Hurricane Center names something, you’re going to know about. It’s a great way to follow the season, if you like doing that. Search WKMG in your app store and make sure you find the hurricane one.

💻YouTube

If you live in Central Florida subscribe to the WKMG/ClickOrlando page.

If you love the weather, whether you’re in Central Florida or not, subscribe to JustWeather!

Clickorlando.com/hurricane is also a great resource no matter where you live.

📺News 6+

If you live outside of Central Florida or don’t have cable, first of all thank you for finding the Tropics Watch newsletter! We have a lot of hurricane season-related content on demand here and you can watch all of the newscasts LIVE as well. You can download that on your smart T.V. or other streaming devices.

One last thing. This is a two-way street. I/we are here for you. Any ideas? Like or hate something? Have any questions? Let me know. Shoot me an email at jkegges@wkmg.com. Find me on Facebook or X.

We’re in this together. We have families here too. You’re going to get the same info we give to them. Thank you for your trust. We don’t take that responsibility lightly.

OK, now I’m done.

Talk to you soon!

- Jonathan