Since the last time we talked we have had two named storms pop up. If you blinked you missed Andrea and Barry. They were that short-lived.
Andrea lasted exactly 12 hours as it meandered in no man’s land in the North Atlantic.
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Barry, forming over the weekend, was also not around long, but did bring heavy rain to Mexico.
So my bet of taking the under of .5 named storms before August isn’t going to hit, but both of these storms were barely classifiable. Barry was a little closer because we at least had hurricane hunter aircraft confirming it, but man was Barry sloppy. See below...
Flossie...the sixth named storm of the 2025 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season was getting going on the Pacific side of Mexico in the same shot.
Anyway, we now have another shot for tropical development. *IF* it develops, it will be another homegrown storm, forming off a stalled cold front over warm water, typical for early in the hurricane season.
The biggest thing to know about this is significant development is unlikely and regardless of development, unsettled weather will be around a good chunk of the Southeast and Deep South, due to this stalled front.
The bigger impact to anyone in these areas will be the likelihood of rain for the Fourth and the days leading up to the holiday. Tropical development is also possible, but that really won’t change the forecast.
In terms of the tropical development, the European ensembles....the 51 members with different initial conditions entered in to show a range of outcomes...show a low chance for development east of Florida.
The greenish color represents about 30% of the 51 members showing a tropical depression forming by the weekend east of Florida.
Still, the deep tropics are nice and quiet!
Let me know if there is anything you want to see discussed in a future newsletter entry. My email is jkegges@wkmg.com .
Don’t forget to tune into the nightly weather livestream every Monday through Friday at 10 p.m. on the News 6 YouTube channel and ClickOrlando.com. Come with questions or comments!
Catch you soon!
Jonathan
Ways to stay connected this hurricane season
You can log on and chat with me live during our live streaming weather hangout session. That is every Monday-Friday at 10 p.m. To comment be signed into YouTube and subscribe to the WKMG/Clickorlando page or click here and become an insider and comment in the live chat box!
📱News 6 Weather App
Even if you are outside of Central Florida, download this app! This is the best hurricane app on the market, and it’s FREE. As soon as the National Hurricane Center names something, you’re going to know about. It’s a great way to follow the season, if you like doing that. Search WKMG in your app store and make sure you find the hurricane one.
💻YouTube
If you live in Central Florida, subscribe to the WKMG/ClickOrlando page.
If you love the weather, whether you’re in Central Florida or not, subscribe to JustWeather!
Clickorlando.com/hurricane is also a great resource no matter where you live.
📺News 6+
If you live outside of Central Florida or don’t have cable, first of all, thank you for finding the Tropics Watch newsletter! We have a lot of hurricane season-related content on demand here, and you can watch all of the newscasts LIVE as well. You can download that on your smart T.V. or other streaming devices.
One last thing. This is a two-way street. I/we are here for you. Any ideas? Like or hate something? Have any questions? Let me know. Shoot me an email at jkegges@wkmg.com. Find me on Facebook or X.
We’re in this together. We have families here too. You’re going to get the same info we give to them. Thank you for your trust. We don’t take that responsibility lightly.
OK, now I’m done.
Talk to you soon!
- Jonathan