The calendar flipped to August and just like that, we’re tracking a tropical storm.
Erin formed just before 11 a.m. Monday and is expected to grow into a major hurricane north of the Caribbean.
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It’s truly too early to tell what’s going on with this thing. Model guidance this far out and when the storm hasn’t developed a well-defined center really can’t be trusted.
One of the main things to watch is the steering flow.
Model guidance continues to indicate a weakness in the steering ridge as the storm passes north of the Caribbean.
If that weakness comes to fruition and the ridge of high pressure retrogrades back west, there is a high potential that this storm will turn and stay out at sea.
We’re just on watch mode right now. You can find more on the system by clicking here.
Either way, we’re likely looking at our first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, and it could be a strong one. I’ll keep you posted.
I’m filling in on the morning show today and I thought, “Why wait until the evening to send?” Hope you don’t mind!
Let me know if there is anything you want to see discussed in a future newsletter entry. My email is jkegges@wkmg.com.
Don’t forget to tune into the nightly weather livestream every Monday through Friday (NOW AT 9:30 p.m.) on the News 6 YouTube channel and ClickOrlando.com. Come with questions or comments!
Catch you soon!
Jonathan
Ways to stay connected this hurricane season
You can log on and chat with me live during our live streaming weather hangout session. That is every Monday-Friday at 9:30 p.m. To comment, be signed into YouTube and subscribe to the WKMG/ClickOrlando page or click here and become an insider and comment in the live chat box!
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If you live in Central Florida, subscribe to the WKMG/ClickOrlando page.
If you love the weather, whether you’re in Central Florida or not, subscribe to JustWeather!
ClickOrlando.com/hurricane is also a great resource no matter where you live.
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If you live outside of Central Florida or don’t have cable, first of all, thank you for finding the Tropics Watch newsletter! We have a lot of hurricane season-related content on demand here, and you can watch all of the newscasts LIVE as well. You can download that on your smart TV or other streaming devices.
One last thing. This is a two-way street. I/we are here for you. Any ideas? Like or hate something? Have any questions? Let me know. Shoot me an email at jkegges@wkmg.com. Find me on Facebook or X.
We’re in this together. We have families here, too. You’re going to get the same info we give to them. Thank you for your trust. We don’t take that responsibility lightly.
OK, now I’m done.
Talk to you soon!
- Jonathan