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System to the west of Florida highlighted for possible tropical development

30 percent chance for development over next five days

The National Hurricane Center has given this area of low pressure a 30% chance to develop.
The National Hurricane Center has given this area of low pressure a 30% chance to develop.

ORLANDO, Fla. – Our quiet stretch in the tropics is over to a certain extent as Tropical Depression Five developed near Bermuda Saturday and a new area to watch has been highlighted by the National Hurricane Center. Tropical Depression 5 is moving AWAY from Florida and is NOT a threat.

The blob of thunderstorms is still over land in the Deep South as it dives south and east. That system has a chance to emerge into the Gulf of Mexico over the next couple of days as it moves closer to Florida.

An area of low pressure highlighted in red has a small chance to develop over the next 5 days.
An area of low pressure highlighted in red has a small chance to develop over the next 5 days.

If it moves into the Gulf, it may have a small opportunity to develop into something tropical prior to reaching Florida. If it does develop, the system itself should remain weak and bring beneficial rain to Florida. Regardless of development, rain chances will remain elevated across Central Florida through the middle of the week as the system passes by.

An area of low pressure has a low chance for development prior to reaching Florida.
An area of low pressure has a low chance for development prior to reaching Florida.

If that system stays over land, development won’t happen before it reaches Florida, but will once again have the chance as it moves off of the Southeast Coast of the U.S.

This forecast model depicts a better chance for tropical development beyond Florida.
This forecast model depicts a better chance for tropical development beyond Florida.

Either way, impacts should remain low to Florida, but something to note. This is likely just the tropics stirring a bit in the middle of the night rather than a full blown wake up.


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