Florida heat holds on. Here’s when to expect rain in your neck of the woods

ORLANDO, Fla. – If you’ve been stepping outside and thinking, “Didn’t we just have this weather yesterday?” you’re not wrong.

We’re in a pretty consistent weather pattern in the Orlando area, and it’s going to stick around a bit longer.

Here’s a quick breakdown of what to expect as we move through the week.

Temperatures

We’re looking at another hot and humid day Monday across east Central Florida.

Highs will climb into the upper 80s and mid-90s, with “feels-like” temps reaching 100–105 degrees. That puts us in a Moderate to Major Heat Risk category, especially around Orlando. If you’re working or playing outside, take frequent breaks, stay hydrated, and find some shade or AC.

Rain & storm chances

Most of the region will stay dry during the first half of the day.

Drier air is moving into areas south of a Kissimmee-to-Melbourne line, so rain chances there are slim at 20%.

From I-4 north, moisture sticks around, increasing the chances for scattered showers and storms later Monday, mainly between late afternoon and evening when the sea breezes from both coasts collide. Rain chances bump up to 40–50% in these areas.

Storms, if they form, aren’t expected to be severe, but they could pack a punch with:

• Frequent lightning
• Wind gusts up to 50 mph
• Heavy rain that could drop 1–3 inches in some spots, possibly leading to minor flooding in poor drainage areas.

Looking ahead

The overall pattern won’t change much through midweek as a large ridge of high pressure remains over Florida.

By Friday and into the weekend, a weakening front could add additional moisture to the area.

Model uncertainty remains for this timeframe, so we will be keeping rain chances seasonal at 50-60% for now.