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National Hurricane Center highlights area off Florida coast for possible development

Watching tropics leading up to Independence Day

Tropical development next seven days

ORLANDO, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center has highlighted an area off Florida’s Atlantic coast for possible tropical development.

A cold front will stall across the Deep South and be the focal point for possible tropical development prior to the holiday weekend.

Currently odds are low, 20% over the next seven days.

Both the European ensembles and Google’s DeepMind AI ensemble have been suggesting development since the middle of last week.

Google DeepMind through July 3rd

The next name for the 2026 hurricane season is Bertha.

This possibility comes as a part of a bigger weather pattern change heading into Independence Day.

Rain chances increase next week in Florida

Deep moisture should surge into Florida from the Atlantic increasing rain and storm chances for the week ahead.

High pressure north of Florida will be the driver for the increased moisture and the reason any potential system drifts back to the west.

Atlantic steering through Independence Day