Hurricane Dorian forecast to hit Central Florida as Category 3 storm

Get latest track, spaghetti models, satellite images for Dorian

Dorian strengthened to a Category 1 hurricane Wednesday afternoon, according to the National Hurricane Center.

ORLANDO, Fla. – Dorian strengthened to a Category 1 hurricane Wednesday afternoon, according to the National Hurricane Center. The latest track for Dorian shows the system moving a bit to the north but striking Florida as a Category 3 hurricane.

Gov. Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency Wednesday afternoon. 

As of 11 p.m. Wednesday, the eye of Hurricane Dorian was 90 miles north of San Juan and traveling northwest at 13 mph with sustained winds of 85 mph.

The 5 p.m. update showed Dorian weakening from a Category 3 when it hits Florida to a Category 2 by the time it makes its way to Orlando around 2 p.m. Monday.

Models for Hurricane Dorian as of 5 p.m. on Wednesday, Aug. 28.

The 11 a.m. update showed the storm trending further south making landfall near Cape Canaveral as a Category 3 hurricane with sustained winds of 115 mph. The storm also shifted slightly further south with the 5 p.m. update.

The National Hurricane Center said in its 11 a.m. update that Dorian would be a Category 3 when it makes landfall sometime on Sunday.

[WATCH LIVE UPDATES BELOW: Track, computer models, satellite for Dorian]

"Through Wednesday, Dorian will be just south of Puerto Rico dumping several inches of rain," News 6 meteorologist Troy Bridges said. "The island could expect up to 7 inches of rain before it’s all said and done."

Although weakening is possible after Dorian moves across Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the storm is forecast to strengthen late this week and this weekend while passing near or to the east of the Turks and Caicos and the Bahamas.

The official track shows the system making landfall early Monday on Central Florida's east coast. The cone of uncertainly, though, ranges from South Florida to South Carolina.

"It's too soon to tell exactly where Dorian will head after passing through the Caribbean Islands," Bridges said. "Some models show it moving across Florida while others have it trekking off Florida's east coast."

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Erin formed between the U.S. and Bermuda. 

Erin is not projected to impact the United States.

Hurricane season runs through November.

The next named storm will be called Fernand.

Watch News 6 and stay with for updates.

About the Authors:

Daniel started with WKMG-TV in 2000 and became the digital content manager in 2009. When he's not working on, Daniel likes to head to the beach or find a sporting event nearby.

From chasing tornadoes and tracking the tropics, to forecasting ice storms and other dangerous weather, Troy Bridges has covered it all! Troy is an award-winning meteorologist who always prepares you for the day ahead on the News 6 Morning News.