Much of Florida is waking up to a widespread soaking, and it’s just the beginning of an active weather pattern that will carry us through Monday night, followed by a big change later this week.
Let’s break down what’s happening, what to expect Monday, and when the sunshine (and heat) will return.
Monday flooding & storm threat
Through the day, an upper low over the Deep South will lift northeast, streaming in tropical moisture over the Sunshine State. This setup will keep us locked in with rounds of heavy rain and scattered storms into the evening.
There’s a marginal risk (1 out of 5) for a few stronger storms on Monday. Wind gusts of 40–50 mph are possible along with lightning and small hail.
Heavy rain led to flooding and a road closure on Pershing Avenue in Orlando early Monday morning. The road later reopened.
[Watch video below for a breakdown of the timing of Monday’s weather threats]
The window for the strongest storms looks to be from 4 p.m. to 10 p.m., as the cold front finally moves through.
Other important impacts:
- Rainfall & flooding: Most areas will see between 1 to 3 inches, but isolated spots could pick up 4 to 5 inches by tonight. While the ground will accept most of this rain, minor flooding will be possible, including quick ponding on roadways.
- Tornado risk: While the risk remains low (2%) there could be enough instability and rotation to create a quick spin-up.
Tuesday
If you’re over the rainy weather, we’ve got some good news.
Monday’s front should clear most of East-Central Florida by Tuesday morning, bringing in drier air behind it.
Rain chances drop significantly—only 20–40% on Tuesday, and even lower on Wednesday. Expect more sunshine, and temperatures rebounding to near normal after a cooler, cloudier Monday.
Late week-weekend
As high pressure builds over the Gulf and Florida, things will dry out and heat up fast. We’re looking at hot and dry weather Thursday through Sunday, with temperatures soaring into the mid to upper 90s by the weekend.
It’s too soon to say if we’ll break records, but it’ll definitely feel like summer, and heat impacts are likely, especially for outdoor plans.