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Florida’s worst early‑February drought in decades raises brush fire concerns

About 95% of Florida is under at least a moderate drought

ORLANDO, Fla. – Drought concerns continue to grow in Central Florida as dry conditions worsen across the state. Florida is now experiencing its worst start to February in 25 years, with the last comparable drought happening back in 2001.

As shown on the current drought map, much of the state is drying out quickly, with the most severe conditions centered over central and north Florida.

Drought Monitor State

Right now, about 95% of Florida is under at least a moderate drought, and the impacts are becoming more noticeable locally.

DMA - Drought Monitor

Flagler, Sumter, and Polk counties are now under burn bans, as dry vegetation and low humidity increase the risk of brush fires. Marion county is under a voluntary burn ban.

Burn Bans - February

Fire danger is expected to continue rising. Many counties issue burn bans once the Keetch Byram Drought Index reaches 500, which signals extremely dry soils and vegetation.

As of Monday, Volusia and Lake counties are getting close to that threshold, meaning additional burn bans could be coming soon.

Keetch-Byram Drought

With little rain in the forecast, drought conditions are expected to keep worsening in the days ahead. Limiting outdoor burning, being careful with heat sources, and staying aware of local restrictions will be especially important as Florida remains locked in this dry stretch.


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