ORLANDO, Fla. – As we head into the heart of hurricane season, the Atlantic is beginning to stir with activity with several areas to watch closely over the next few weeks.
Off the Southeast U.S. Coast
A non-tropical low-pressure system is expected to form within the next day or so, a few hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina. While it’s not tropical in nature just yet, there’s a small window of opportunity this weekend for it to take on some tropical or subtropical characteristics as it moves northeast over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream.
- Chance of development in 48 hours: 10%
- Chance of development in 7 days: 10%
AL96 in the Central Atlantic
Farther out in the central tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave (Invest 96L) is showing signs of potential growth. Right now, the system remains disorganized with scattered showers, but conditions could become more favorable late this weekend into early next week.
If development does occur, we could see a tropical depression form as it moves northwest, staying in the central Atlantic. The next name on the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane list is Erin.
- Chance of development in 48 hours: 0%
- Chance of development in 7 days: 40%
And There’s More Behind It...
Behind 96L, there are two additional tropical waves rolling off the coast of Africa that could also pose a threat for development as we move into mid-August. While it’s too early to say what these systems might do, this is historically the time of year when tropical activity ramps up quickly.
Now’s the time to stay alert and keep a close eye on the tropics. We’re entering the peak of hurricane season, and conditions can change fast. Stay tuned and stay prepared.