ORLANDO, Fla. – The Atlantic hurricane season is starting to show signs of life, with multiple systems being monitored.
While there is plenty to keep tabs on, none pose an immediate threat to Florida.
Hurricane Erin
The only named storm right now is Hurricane Erin, which was located early Friday over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.
Erin is not a threat to land and will likely remain a “fish storm” as it continues to send large swells toward the Eastern Seaboard.
AL90
The system getting the most attention right now is an area of disorganized showers and storms (designated AL90), which is tracking just east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.
Conditions are favorable for development, and the National Hurricane Center gives it a 80% chance of forming within 48 hours, and an 90% chance over the next seven days.
It’s expected to move northwestward, staying between the Lesser Antilles and Bermuda. If it organizes, we could see a new tropical depression by the weekend.
AL99
Further east, a well-organized tropical wave (Invest 99L) remains about 1,000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and is also showing potential.
While it’s not quite there yet, it could become a depression in the upcoming days if it manages to establish a closed circulation. Right now, formation chances are 40% through 48 hours and 50% over the next week.
This system is heading west at 10–15 mph, and while it will move into a less favorable environment in the short term, it might get another window for development late this weekend into early next week. This one could be worth watching longer-term, especially for the eastern Caribbean.