Latest track, models, satellite for Tropical Storm Dorian

Latest track shows storm could make landfall in Central Florida

By Daniel Dahm - Digital Manager

ORLANDO, Fla. - Tropical Storm Dorian continues to churn in the Caribbean on a projected path to Florida.

The 11 p.m. track for Dorian shows a projected landfall forecast near Volusia County by Sunday at 8 p.m. as a Category 1 hurricane, according to News 6 chief meteorologist Tom Sorrells.

It's too soon to tell the specific impacts Dorian could have on Florida, but here's what we know about the storm.

As of Tuesday night, the center of Dorian was located near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 63.0 West. Dorian is moving west-northwest at 13 mph and is expected to continue that movement until taking a turn toward the northwest Wednesday.

 

On the forecast track, the center of Dorian is expected to move across the northeastern Caribbean Sea Tuesday night, pass over or near western and central Puerto Rico Wednesday and move near or just east of Eastern Hispaniola Wednesday night, according to the National Hurricane Center.

On Thursday night and Friday, the center of the storm is expected to move near or to the east of the Turks and Caicos and southeastern Bahamas, the NHC predicts.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph, with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Dorian is forecast to be near hurricane strength when it moves close to Puerto Rico.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb.

Dorian could weaken after moving across the higher terrain of Puerto Rico Wednesday night, according to the hurricane center. The storm could then gradually re-strengthen Thursday and Friday while passing near ot to the east of the Turks and Caicos and southeastern Bahamas.

Hurricane season runs through November, with Sept. 10 marking the peak.

The next three named storms will be called Erin, Fernand and Gabrielle.

Watch News 6 and visit ClickOrlando.com/Hurricane for updates.

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