Tropics bubbling as peak of hurricane season nears

Orlando to see low rain chances for next few days

By Daniel Dahm - Digital Manager, Troy Bridges - Meteorologist

ORLANDO, Fla. - Tuesday marks the peak of the 2019 hurricane season, and the tropics remain active.

A system a few hundred miles north-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is creating some disorganized showers.

Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent the development of the system during the next few days, but environmental conditions could become a little more favorable near the Bahamas and Florida later this week.

"The bottom line with this system is that the European and the American models do not have it  developing at all," News 6 meteorologist Troy Bridges said. "The hurricane center is giving it a zero chance in the next two days and a 20% chance for the next five days."

Meanwhile, a disturbance behind that one is a weak area of low pressure.

It's about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Windward Islands.

"Some slow development of the system is possible during the next few days before upper-level winds make it difficult for tropical development," Bridges said. 

The system is expected to move west across the Atlantic during the next couple of days.

The hurricane center gives it a 30% chance of development over the next five days. Both the European and the American models show the system moving north of the Bahamas, a few hundred miles off the coast of Florida, if it develops.

And a tropical wave near the west coast of Africa will move west over the next few days. Slow development is possible near the end of the week.

The National Hurricane Center has kept the formation potential low with no development over the next two days and 20% over the next five days.

Dorian, which ravaged the Bahamas as a Category 5 hurricane and skirted Florida's coast, is no longer a hurricane.

The next two named storms will be called Humberto and Imelda.

Hurricane season runs through November.

Orlando-area forecast

Rain chances remain low Monday in Central Florida.

There's a 20% chance of rain in Orlando as the east coast sea breeze tries to build.

The high will reach 95, but the "feels like" temperature will be over 100 degrees.

There's a 10% chance of rain Tuesday and a 20% chance Wednesday.

Rain chances jump to 50% Thursday through Sunday.

Watch News 6 for more weather coverage.

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