ORLANDO, Fla. – The tropics are poppin’, which is typical for this time of year.
A broad trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic, almost 1,000 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.
As the system moves northwestward at 15 mph, little development is expected during the next day or two due to marginally conducive ocean temperatures and strong upper-level winds.
Afterward, environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form by the end of the week while the system turns eastward over the central Atlantic.
The National Hurricane Center said Tuesday afternoon that there’s a 70% chance for the system to develop tropical characteristics over the next five days.
Meanwhile, a broad of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple days from a tropical wave currently located over the central Caribbean Sea.
If it remains over water, conditions are expected to be conducive for development and a tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend as the system moves northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Sunday.
It also has a 60% chance of development over the next five days.
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Another tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic, a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms.
Forecasters said some development of the system is possible over the next several days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10-15 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development by the weekend.
The NHC says it has a 30% chance of development over the next five days.
As of now, the disturbances are not expected to directly impact Florida.
The next three named storms will be called Ida, Julian and Kate.
Hurricane season peaks on Sept. 10 and runs until Dec. 1.
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