Tropics Update: Short-lived, hybrid system could develop off Carolina coast

System could develop subtropical characteristics Sunday

Samara Cokinos (WKMG)

ORLANDO, Fla. – Another tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers over portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.

Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to limit any development over the next day or so, but environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some gradual development of the system when it is located near the southeastern Bahamas around midweek.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico. Formation is 20% over the next five days.

The second wave located is east/southeast of the Windward Islands and continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive, and some limited development could occur during the next day or so while the system moves northwestward at about 15 mph.

After that time, strong upper-level winds are expected to limit further development.

The disturbance is forecast to approach the central and northern Lesser Antilles by late Monday and early Tuesday.

Regardless of development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles on Tuesday, and across the Virgin Islands and Leeward Islands on Wednesday. Formation is 30% over the next 5 days.

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The National Hurricane Center gives this disturbance a 50% chance for development over the next two days.

The next named storm in the Atlantic will be called Wanda.

If all of the names of the 2021 season are exhausted, a supplemental list of names, rather than the Greek Alphabet, will be used to finish the season. This is new for the 2021 season.

About the Authors:

Jonathan Kegges joined the News 6 team in June 2019 as the Weekend Morning Meteorologist. Jonathan comes from Roanoke, Virginia where he covered three EF-3 tornadoes and deadly flooding brought on by Hurricanes Florence and Michael.

Emmy Award Winning Meteorologist Samara Cokinos joined the News 6 team in September 2017. In her free time, she loves running and being outside.