ORLANDO, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center has bumped up the formation potential for the system in the eastern Gulf as a surface low pressure is attempting to form. Odds are now medium for tropical development. It has been dubbed Invest 91 L and Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to fly through the system Sunday afternoon to look for an organized surface center.
Models have shifted this system further west over the last 24 hours, which brings better weather for Central Florida. A western shift means the tropical moisture associated with this system shifts west as well. Instead of tapping into this moisture, Central Florida will welcome drier air being pulled in from the southeast as this low moves northward. Due to this, rain chances have decreased for the area considerably.
Sunday
Much of the day will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds as our available moisture for storms declines. Rain chances will be reduced to spotty to scattered late-afternoon into the early evening. These storms will move from south to north. Many of us will not see any rain at all. Coverage will only be 30-40%. Highs will hit the low 90s with heat indices around 100ºF.
Next Week
Drier air continues to push into Central Florida from the southeast as the Gulf low pushes further to the northwest, allowing our rain chances to continue to fall. Coverage drops as low as 20% by mid-week as a ridge of high pressure builds back over the state of Florida. This, in turn, means highs bounce back into the mid-upper 90s.