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Tax cuts are coming to Florida next year. Here’s how much to expect

Study reveals estimates stemming from One Big Beautiful Bill Act

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With the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) being signed into law last month, Florida is slated to see plenty of individual and business tax cuts.

That’s according to The Tax Foundation, which put together a study this month detailing what Florida residents can expect during the upcoming 2026 tax season.

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The study predicts that the OBBBA will bring down federal taxes on average for individual taxpayers in every state, largely thanks to features like new deductions for tipped/overtime income, as well as an expanded child tax credit and standard deduction.

“Specific tax changes also exhibit geographic variation,” the study reads. “For example, the $40,000 cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions ($10,000 cap post-2029) will tend to have the greatest impact on taxpayers in higher-tax localities on the coasts of the U.S.”

Overall, the average tax cut statewide in 2026 is estimated to be around $5,000, researchers posited.

That figure is set to fall to roughly $3,200 by 2030 as certain individual changes like deductions for tips and overtime expire, though it’s set to rise back up to around $4,000 by 2035 as inflation bloats the nominal value of the permanent tax cuts.

However, the average tax cuts for 2026 will vary by county, The Tax Foundation notes. The breakdown of those estimates is as follows:

RankCountyAverage Tax Cut (2026)Standard Deduction Expansion
1Collier$14,315-$795
2Monroe$13,363-$767
3Palm Beach$12,031-$786
4Martin$11,106-$831
5Walton$9,580-$841
6Indian River$8,701-$876
7Sarasota$7,492-$836
8St. Johns$6,895-$867
9Miami-Dade$5,872-$780
10Nassau$5,527-$904
11Lee$5,212-$828
12Manatee$4,975-$863
13Pinellas$4,766-$830
14Broward$4,441-$786
15Sumter$4,059-$981
16Flagler$4,044-$916
17Okaloosa$3,968-$893
18Hillsborough$3,896-$833
19Seminole$3,715-$853
20Orange$3,648-$821
21Santa Rosa$3,627-$931
22Brevard$3,549-$887
23Charlotte$3,538-$856
24Franklin$3,473-$903
25Alachua$3,417-$846
26Duval$3,393-$845
26Gulf$3,393-$895
28Bay$3,206-$881
29Marion$3,196-$917
30Leon$3,079-$820
31Volusia$3,065-$870
32Citrus$3,009-$943
33Lake$2,989-$909
34Clay$2,916-$916
35Escambia$2,895-$873
36Pasco$2,749-$892
37Okeechobee$2,705-$905
38St. Lucie$2,545-$873
39Jefferson$2,540-$906
40Polk$2,501-$885
41Wakulla$2,426-$931
42Baker$2,425-$934
43Hernando$2,415-$921
44Highlands$2,407-$919
45Gilchrist$2,312-$943
46Levy$2,277-$919
47Bradford$2,233-$922
48Suwannee$2,176-$923
49Madison$2,173-$899
50Lafayette$2,169-$933
51Calhoun$2,144-$930
52Hardee$2,097-$906
53Putnam$2,095-$919
54Taylor$2,091-$927
55Columbia$2,077-$913
56Union$2,070-$901
57Holmes$2,054-$946
58Glades$2,048-$878
59Washington$2,013-$933
60DeSoto$2,007-$850
61Jackson$1,991-$900
62Hamilton$1,986-$902
63Liberty$1,937-$924
64Dixie$1,896-$935
65Hendry$1,774-$859
66Osceola$1,734-$853
67Gadsden$1,714-$852

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