Latest track, models: Tropical system strengthens to Tropical Storm Humberto

Florida is out of the cone of Tropical Storm Humberto

11 p.m.

The National Hurricane Center said Tropical Depression No. 9 has strengthened to Tropical Storm Humberto. 

The storm has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and is moving northwest at 6 mph.  The NHC said the storm is about 130 miles east-southeast of Great Abaco Island.

The tropical storm watch on the east coast of Florida has been lifted.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island.

8 p.m.

The system has maximum sustained winds up to 30 mph with higher gusts and was moving Northwest at 8 mph and was 260 miles east-southeast of Grand Bahama Island.

PTC 9 has now developed into Tropical Depression Nine. Florida is now out of the cone.

If the storm starts packing a bigger punch with 39 mph sustained winds, it would become Tropical Storm Humberto. Environmental conditions are favorable (80%) for a tropical depression or tropical storm to form later Friday or Saturday morning, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The current track has the system moving across the central and northwestern Bahamas Friday night and along or near the east coast of Florida Saturday and Saturday night then continuing to veer right into the Atlantic Ocean.

[QUESTIONS? Join the News 6 weather team for Q&A about potential tropical cyclone]

Models are still in disagreement on exactly which way this system will go, but the official track takes it as a tropical storm through Central Florida Saturday and Sunday, eventually turning out then the Georgia coast and along to the Carolina coast by the end of the weekend and the beginning of next week.

The National Weather Center has already issued tropical storm watches for Brevard and Volusia counties.

[WEATHER ALERTS: Watches and warnings in effect for Central Florida]

It will likely stay a tropical storm, never becoming a hurricane, but will bring rainy conditions and a few stronger winds to Central Florida throughout the weekend.

[MORE COVERAGE: Storm surge watches and warnings:  What are they?]

There’s a 50% coverage of rain for Friday and an 80% coverage of rain for Saturday and for Sunday. 

Rain chances are at 60% on Monday and 50% for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday with high temperatures near 90 today through next week.

What else we're watching: Two tropical waves

There's a tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde islands.

Conditions are expected to become more conductive for development in a couple of days and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward across the Atlantic.

The National Hurricane Center is currently giving this system a 0% chance of development within the next two days and a 40% chance within the next five days.

Another tropical wave is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde islands. Slow development of this is possible during the next several days while it moves westward across the upper Atlantic. The hurricane center is giving this a 0% chance of development within the next two days in a 20% chance within the next five.


About the Author:

Troy Bridges

From chasing tornadoes and tracking the tropics, to forecasting ice storms and other dangerous weather, Troy Bridges has covered it all! Troy is an award-winning meteorologist who always prepares you for the day ahead on the News 6 Morning News.

Note to users: Comments on ClickOrlando.com are migrating over to our new website. All comments before 11/12/19 at 12 p.m. will be temporarily blank until the migration is complete. All past conversations will be restored. New comments can be posted now. Questions? Contact webstaff@wkmg.com.