Here’s how the disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico will impact Florida

Small chance for tropical development next 7 days

Tropical update

ORLANDO, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center continues to highlight a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico for a small chance of tropical development. The NHC gives this disturbance a 20% chance to develop over the next 48 hours.

Dry air on the western side of the system and strong wind shear on the eastern side will make it very hard for the system to organize.

The disturbance itself is expected to stay and meander through the eastern Gulf of Mexico through Friday. As the system does this, it will pull tropical moisture across the Florida Peninsula from the Caribbean and southwest Atlantic.

Future radar

This added moisture will help scattered showers and thunderstorms develop Thursday and Friday. The highest rain chances on Thursday will be west of Orlando and then right along and around Interstate 95.

Any storm that does develop will contain very heavy rain. Localized flooding will be possible.

Later on in the weekend, the system may drift back toward South Florida, however it will bring with it the drier air that resides to its west.

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About the Author:

Jonathan Kegges joined the News 6 team in June 2019 and now covers weather on TV and all digital platforms.