ORLANDO, Fla. – It’s been a welcomed treat for many here across Florida as cooler temperatures and drier air settles in. This is likely to persist at least until about the middle point of the week ahead.
Tonight we anticipate temperatures to fall into the lower 70s for many, some of us the further north you go may even see the thermostat reach into the upper 60s!
Have you noticed we’re slowly but surely getting back into the part of the calendar year where this is a more frequent occurrence?
I know I have, and I’m so here for it!
Thanks to that very same dry air mentioned above, our rain chances should also remain fairly low. There’s no ruling out the potential for a stray shower or rogue thunderstorm during the late afternoon or early evening, very similar to what we’ve seen today.
But all-in-all, much of your upcoming Sunday, the second half of your weekend, is looking pretty stellar.
There’s an upper level low stuck overtop northern Florida and much of the southeast U.S. This is helping to give us that extra dose of cooler, drier air from up north. It’s also helping to keep that corridor of cooler air open, allowing more to seep southward into our neighborhood.
If you’ve been looking for a break from the rain, you’ve definitely got it with this set up. Because of the orientation of the trough supporting our upper low at its southernmost point, we’re in the more neutral or calm position of where the most aggressive weather would typically be.
That particular region is just off our east coast, also helping to spin up a weak and broad area of low pressure. Rest assured, this is non-tropical in nature. I know it’s the peak of the hurricane season, but we’re not quite seeing the action we’re familiar with out there across the Atlantic.
The low pressure trying to develop off our immediate east coast is what’s going to drive the winds in from the north and east. This could provide us with just enough moisture to get a few showers and storms to flare up during tomorrow afternoon pushing inland from our east coast counties towards the Orlando metro area.
A lot of these clusters of showers will be pretty small in size, very localized instances of rain. The dry air well above us high in the atmosphere just won’t allow for any generous development of more widespread heavier rains.
In fact rain isn’t the main weather story in Florida these days, it’s actually the winds and the surf produced by the winds.
We currently have a high rip current risk across our east coast county beaches from the northern border of Florida all the way down the Boca Raton area.
So please keep this in mind, plan accordingly, and be safe if you venture to our east coast tomorrow to take advantage of your primarily clear Sunday.
Where do we go from here? Upper low’s have a tendency to over stay their welcome. Computer models don’t do a fantastic job of interpreting when it is they are most likely to start to make their retreat. It seems the pivotal point where our local weather pattern begins to change once again, will happen between late Wednesday and Thursday of this upcoming week.
We’ll likely start to see humidity building back in, as well as an increasing chance for extra rainfall. This is even more so the case if you reside in some of our southern counties, like Polk, Osceola, and Brevard.
The exit of our upper level low is critical in your week ahead. We’ll be working to iron out the details on its progression, and what may start to work its way in shortly thereafter.
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