Late-Season Tropical Depression Possible This Week

Tropics Watch update for 11/13

Gfs model (maxuser)

We have a blob in the Caribbean. The good news, this is not coming to Florida. The not-so-good-news is that at the very least heavy rain is coming to parts of the Caribbean as a result of that blob.

That area in the Caribbean could consolidate and become a tropical depression later on in the week as it lifts toward Jamaica. Steering currents will help keep it away from Florida.

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Even though we did just have a November hurricane last year it is also really rare that a hurricane makes landfall in Florida. Click here to see how many times that has happened.

Our rain chances locally, if you’re reading from Florida, are going up because of another blob. This one is coming at us from Texas and the Gulf of Mexico.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the National Hurricane Center highlighted this entity for a low chance for tropical development, but this is being driven by a non-tropical upper low and therefore likely won’t take on tropical characteristics. Just wanted to give you a heads up in case they do. This wouldn’t change in any impacts possibly coming to Florida just FYI.

This would arrive in Central Florida Wednesday and Thursday. At this point, it appears the heaviest rain will fall in the Panhandle and South Florida. Again this is from the Gulf blob and not the Caribbean blob.

Even though we did just have a November hurricane last year it is really rare that a hurricane makes landfall in Florida. Click here to see how many times that has happened.

Any questions...shoot me an e-mail!

- Jonathan


Hurricane season is officially underway and the Pinpoint Weather Team at News 6 will be here for you. We want to make sure you stay updated on the tropics and all things weather, of course.

If you’re new to the Tropics Watch Newsletter, thank you for signing up! I will be visiting your inbox every Monday (and as needed) to talk all things tropics this hurricane season. We also have a live tropics show that airs on our YouTube channel every Monday at 11 a.m.

Hopefully, we can break down the science and meteorology of these storms as they stay WAY out at sea.

Obviously, last year was rough. This isn’t a time to stress out or be anxious but to simply be prepared. Most of the time Central Florida doesn’t get hit, but typically there’s a lot going on in the Atlantic Basin as we get deeper into the summer.

That’s where the Pinpoint Weather Team comes in. We will remove all the noise that is out there and tell it like it is.

The Tropics Watch newsletter works a little differently than our other newsletters you may be subscribed to at News 6. This is going to come out after Monday afternoon to keep you posted on what could happen, but I will also visit your inbox if something “pops.”

When a new storm is born, the track or intensity changes, another area to watch develops or just something interesting is going on in the tropics, you will know about it. It’s my hope that we can have a conversation about the science and meteorology involved in tropical weather forecasting.

If you have any questions or concerns about anything weather related, please reach out. My email is jkegges@wkmg.com. If there is something you would like to be added to this newsletter or a topic you would like covered, let me know.

Talk to you soon! Well, hopefully not that soon.


About the Author

Jonathan Kegges joined the News 6 team in June 2019 and now covers weather on TV and all digital platforms.

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