Track, models: Is the end near for Tropical Storm Karen?

Orlando continues to see nice weather

ORLANDO, Fla. – Could the end be near for Tropical Storm Karen?

11 p.m.

News 6 Chief Meteorologist Tom Sorrells said the latest 11 p.m. track for Tropical Storm Karen continues to show the storm dying out in the about 48 hours. The storm has sustained winds of 40 mph moving northeast at 8 mph.


***5 p.m.***

Tropical Storm Karen is showing signs of unraveling.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center says the storm currently has top sustained winds of 45 mph (75 kph) and is about 370 miles (595 kilometers) south-southeast of Bermuda. Forecasters say Karen is moving toward the north-northeast but is expected to turn more eastward and then become nearly stationary by Friday night before disbanding over the weekend.

Far from land in the central tropical Atlantic, Category 4 Hurricane Lorenzo gained new fury Thursday afternoon. The U.S. National Hurricane Center says Lorenzo now has maximum sustained winds of 140 mph (220 kph) and is shaping up to be one of the largest and most powerful hurricanes on record in that area of the open Atlantic.

Though Lorenzo poses no threat to land, the hurricane is kicking up large ocean swells that are expected to affect parts of the northeastern coast of South America as well as the Windward Islands.


As of Thursday, Karen had maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and was north-northeast at 14 mph about 405 miles south-southeast of Bermuda.

"Models have been all over the place with Karen," News 6 meteorologist Troy Bridges said. "The latest models have Karen dying out to the north and east of the Bahamas. Karen will not likely impact the U.S. mainland, but we will watch this storm in the coming days."

TS Karen track.
TS Karen models.

The only other system currently being watched by the National Hurricane Center is Hurricane Lorenzo, which has maximum sustained winds of 130 mph in the open Atlantic, about 1,055 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.

"Lorenzo will stay out to sea," Bridges said.

The next three named storms will be called Melissa, Nestor and Olga.

Hurricane season runs through November.

Central Florida forecast

Low rain chances continues as high pressure continue to dominate the forecast in Central Florida.

Orlando is expected to see a high of 92 Thursday. The average high on this date is 88.

"Rain chances will not enter the forecast until Sunday at 20%," Bridges said.

Expect a high of 90 Friday and the upper 80s Saturday through the middle of next week.

Rain chances will be 30%  Monday.

Watch News 6 for more weather coverage.

About the Authors:

Daniel started with WKMG-TV in 2000 and became the digital content manager in 2009. When he's not working on, Daniel likes to head to the beach or find a sporting event nearby.

From chasing tornadoes and tracking the tropics, to forecasting ice storms and other dangerous weather, Troy Bridges has covered it all! Troy is an award-winning meteorologist who always prepares you for the day ahead on the News 6 Morning News.