NHC highlights new disturbance as tropical development chances increase in Atlantic

Tropical wave in Gulf could bring rain to Florida

ORLANDO, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center increased development chances on Thursday for two disturbances in the Atlantic and highlight a new area as another wave in the Gulf of Mexico is expected to bring rain to Florida.

The first disturbance, located 1,000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde islands, is expected to become a tropical depression in the next several days. It is moving west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic.

Development chances for this disturbance are 40% over the next two days and 50% over the next seven days.

Another disturbance off the coast of Africa is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms near the southwest of the Cabo Verde islands. This area could become a tropical depression over the weekend, but further development is not expected as environmental conditions will become unfavorable at the beginning of next week.

Development chances for this disturbance are 50% over the next two days and 70% over the next seven days.

Seven day tropical development - Atlantic (Copyright 2023 by WKMG ClickOrlando - All rights reserved.)

The National Hurricane Center announced on Thursday evening that another disturbance was observed in the Atlantic.

That one is currently located more than 500 miles to the east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles, and it’s moving west-northwest at around 10-15 mph into the Caribbean Sea. Formation chances for that disturbance is 10% through next two days, though that chance increases to 20% over the next seven days.

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The area in the Gulf of Mexico could slowly develop as it moves west and toward the western Gulf coastline by the middle of next week. This disturbance is found just north of Hispaniola.

Seven day tropical development - Gulf of Mexico (Copyright 2023 by WKMG ClickOrlando - All rights reserved.)

This is the wave that’s expected to cross Florida over the weekend.

Formation chances are 30% in the next seven days.

The next named storm of the season is Emily.

Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.

Seven day tropical development (Copyright 2023 by WKMG ClickOrlando - All rights reserved.)

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Correction:

In a previous version of this article, News 6 reported that there were two new disturbances in the Atlantic as of Thursday evening. However, the NHC has only reported one new disturbance with chances for two others increasing. The story has been corrected to more accurately that information.


About the Authors

Brenda Argueta is a digital journalist who joined ClickOrlando.com in March 2021. She is the author of the Central Florida Happenings newsletter that goes out every Thursday.

Anthony, a graduate of the University of Florida, joined ClickOrlando.com in April 2022.

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